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telegram中文群组索引(www.tel8.vip):Bright spot for banking sector

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Sulaiman: We are of the view that credit impairments and incremental credit costs for 2023 will remain manageable with the support of moderate interest-rate hikes and continued economic recovery.

PETALING JAYA: With 2022 coming to an end, banks are expected to brace for a tougher business environment amid macro-economic headwinds in 2023.

Despite these challenges, bankers and analysts said not all is doom and gloom as there are bright spots that would position the sector on a growth trajectory, noting that they expect a decent loan growth of between 4.5% and 5.5% for next year.

They also expect positive earnings growth for 2023 amid a challenging business and economic landscape.

AMMB Holdings Bhd (AmBank) group chief executive officer Datuk Sulaiman Mohd Tahir told StarBiz that global headwinds, including rising inflationary pressure from geopolitical uncertainties, disruption of global supply chains as well as hikes in commodity prices are expected to remain elevated.

He expects loan growth for the sector in 2023 to be in the range of 4.5% to 5.5% on the back of a 4.5% gross domestic product growth forecast.

For 2022, he anticipates a loan growth of between 6% and 6.5%.

The banking system’s annualised loan growth in September 2022 stood at 5.8% compared with 4.6% in 2021.

“We are of the view that credit impairments and incremental credit costs for 2023 will remain manageable with the support of moderate interest-rate hikes and continued economic recovery.

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“Banks have accrued loan-loss reserves since the onset of the Covid-19 pandemic and we see these buffers as being adequate against expected credit losses in 2023.

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“In terms of the terrain for 2023 for local banks, AmBank expects competition to intensify, particularly for longer-term deposits next year,” he said.

Sulaiman said despite the challenging circumstances ahead and based on the group’s successful track record over the years, it has been able to capture market share given its solid fundamentals and driven by the bank’s dynamic team.

OCBC Bank (M) Bhd CEO Datuk Ong Eng Bin, meanwhile, projected a loan growth of 5% next year, and concurred that 2023 would be a challenging year for the banking sector.

The sector would benefit from the positive, albeit slower, growth projected for 2023. However, he said the overall macro outlook remains volatile as the country is closely tied to the world economy which is facing challenges.

Datuk Ong Eng Bin, CEO of OCBC Bank (M) Bhd.

Inflation, weak global growth, coupled with looming recession in developed countries, geopolitical tensions and the Russia-Ukraine war would continue to have an impact on the economy, which in turn would affect business and consumer sentiments and the banking landscape, he noted.

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